Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.