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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Milan logo

Crotone
0 - 2
AC Milan


Marrone (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (45+2' pen.), Diaz (50')
Pioli (57'), Gabbia (63'), Hernandez (78'), Leao (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Crotone and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
27.44%23.55%49.01%
Both teams to score 58.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47%42.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06%64.94%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98%48.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 27.44%
    AC Milan 49.01%
    Draw 23.55%
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Bonucci (54')
Biglia (45'), Kalinic (90')

Mandragora (20'), Martella (90')
Aug 20, 2017 7.45pm
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan

Dussenne (90')
Ceccherini (5')
Kessie (6' pen.), Cutrone (18'), Suso (24')
Cutrone (9'), Locatelli (59'), Bonucci (69')
Apr 30, 2017 2pm
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Trotta (8')
Ferrari (20'), Crisetig (26'), Falcinelli (94')
Zapata (50')
Kucka (24'), Deulofeu (43')
Kucka (96')
Dec 4, 2016 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
Pasalic (41'), Lapadula (86')
Locatelli (49'), Sosa (63'), Lapadula (87')
Falcinelli (26')
Rosi (43'), Crisetig (52'), Rohden (60'), Stoian (67')
Dec 1, 2015 8pm
Round Four
AC Milan
3-1
Crotone
Adriano (47'), Bonaventura (105'), Niang (115')
Mauri (65'), Adriano (109')
Budimir (68')
Alexandru Balasa (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910


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