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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Inter Milan

No team has kept more clean sheets than either Inter or Atalanta throughout Europe's top five leagues this term - seven each, level with Nice and Juventus - so it could be a cagey affair this weekend. The visitors' fluent front line should help them breach their hosts' tight defence, though, and rack up a ninth win from 11 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
35.94% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 26.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.2% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (-0.026 -0.03)75.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.71% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)63.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 35.93%
    Inter Milan 37.2%
    Draw 26.86%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.2%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
66.7%
90
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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