Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
76.08% | 15.02% | 8.9% |
Both teams to score 48.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.07% | 35.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.97% | 58.03% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.15% | 7.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.17% | 27.83% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.06% | 46.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.56% | 82.44% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.93% 3-0 @ 10.12% 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 6.44% 4-1 @ 4.87% 5-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.39% 6-1 @ 1.05% 5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.78% Total : 76.07% | 1-1 @ 7.09% 0-0 @ 3.69% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.83% Total : 15.02% | 0-1 @ 2.79% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.38% Total : 8.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
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