Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
