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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Roma logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Roma

Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Roma

The 1-0 win is written deep in Juve's DNA, and a tactical tussle between Allegri and Mourinho is not likely to develop into a goalfest. A single strike could decide the points' destiny, and the Bianconeri's ability to get the job done against other top-four rivals should prove enough to see off Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawRoma
41.67% (-0.454 -0.45) 28.75% (-0.217 -0.22) 29.57% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 44.31% (0.854 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07% (0.916 0.92)61.92% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (0.668 0.67)81.68% (-0.67 -0.67)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.19500000000001 0.2)29.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.24 0.24)65.28% (-0.241 -0.24)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (1.038 1.04)37.32% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (1.011 1.01)74.1% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 41.67%
    Roma 29.57%
    Draw 28.74%
JuventusDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Juventus vs Roma

Juventus
69.4%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
16.9%
124
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
1-0
Juventus
Mancini (53')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli331310105041949
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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