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Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Shakhov (88')
Gabriel (10'), Babacar (21'), Donati (36')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chiesa (6'), Ghezzal (38'), Cutrone (40')
Ribery (10'), Ghezzal (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
33.88%24.24%41.87%
Both teams to score 59.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 33.88%
    Fiorentina 41.87%
    Draw 24.24%
LecceDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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