Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.