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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Inter logo

Monza
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
Mkhitaryan (71'), Gagliardini (77'), Inzaghi (85'), Skriniar (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Inter Milan

Under Palladino, it is clear that Monza are credible contenders to stay up at the end of their debut Serie A season, but beating in-form Inter will prove a bridge too far. The visitors' defeat of Napoli has only boosted confidence in the camp, and they can breach even a much-improved Biancorossi defence more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
26.49% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 23.85% (0.004999999999999 0) 49.66% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (-0.012 -0.01)44.6% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.96% (0.012 0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)48.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 26.49%
    Inter Milan 49.66%
    Draw 23.85%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.49%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.66%

How you voted: Monza vs Inter Milan

Monza
5.1%
Draw
14.5%
Inter Milan
80.3%
117
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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