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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

de Vrij (21'), Barella (44'), Correa (73')
Bastoni (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yepes (19'), Colley (40'), Duricic (52'), Verre (57'), Gabbiadini (61'), Amione (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Inter are drawless in their last 20 league games - their longest such run since the 1940s - while Samp have scored the fewest Serie A goals this season. Not surprisingly, then, a home win appears to be on the cards, with Lukaku's return occurring just in time to match a Martinez hot-streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
77.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 14.35% (0.012 0.01) 7.87% (0.014 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.61% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.22% (0.02 0.02)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.27% (0.022000000000006 0.02)49.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)84.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 77.77%
    Sampdoria 7.87%
    Draw 14.35%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.55%
3-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 77.77%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Sampdoria
2.6%
114
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
3-0
Sampdoria
Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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