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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Salernitana

Monza
3 - 0
Salernitana

Augusto (24'), Mota (35'), Pessina (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Candreva (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Salernitana

Salernitana will be angry after falling to a late defeat against Fiorentina in midweek, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a win on Sunday. Monza are at least one year behind their forthcoming opponents in terms of their development, and that may be more obvious than expected at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawSalernitana
59.59% (0.21 0.21) 22.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.22% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.196 -0.2)46.83% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.184 -0.18)69.09% (0.181 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)44.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)39.49% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.311 -0.31)76.18% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Monza 59.58%
    Salernitana 18.22%
    Draw 22.18%
MonzaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Salernitana

Monza
30.6%
Draw
22.2%
Salernitana
47.2%
72
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 1pm
Salernitana
1-3
Monza
Gondo (51')
Veseli (70'), Casasola (79')
Frattesi (49'), Balotelli (81', 90+1')
Pirola (40'), Balotelli (83')
Dec 30, 2020 3pm
Monza
3-0
Salernitana
Balotelli (4'), Barilla (45'), Armellino (90+5')
Bellusci (55')

Gyomber (26'), Djuric (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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