Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.47% ( 0.58) | 22.73% ( -0.32) | 34.8% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 65.9% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( 1.54) | 34.93% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( 1.7) | 56.91% ( -1.7) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.87) | 17.08% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% ( 1.51) | 47.26% ( -1.52) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0.57) | 20.52% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.9) | 53.02% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.35% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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