Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
