Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
34.88% | 23.18% | 41.94% |
Both teams to score 64.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% | 37.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% | 59.34% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% | 18.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% | 49.22% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |