Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.