Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.