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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Inter logo

Parma
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gervinho (15')
Dermaku (30'), Kucka (49'), R. (86'), Kurtic (89')
Kucka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Vrij (84'), Bastoni (87')
Martinez (27'), Gagliardini (49'), Godin (71'), Moses (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawInter Milan
20.8%22.26%56.94%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52%43.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12%65.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19%34.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45%71.55%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94%15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44%43.57%
Score Analysis
    Parma 20.8%
    Inter Milan 56.94%
    Draw 22.26%
ParmaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.4%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-3 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.94%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
Feb 9, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
0-1
Inter Milan

Gagliolo (61'), Biabiany (89')
Martinez (79')
Vecino (37'), Nainggolan (85')
Sep 15, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
0-1
Parma

Brozovic (31'), D'Ambrosio (67')
Dimarco (79')
Stulac (24'), Dimarco (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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