Bari

2 - 0

Mantova

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.