Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.