Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match.