Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.