Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.