Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.