Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.