Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.