Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.