Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.