We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Gaziantep
Istanbul Basaksehir have fared well at home this term, while Gaziantep's impressive home results have failed to translate into points on the road, and with the visitors continuing to struggle on their travels, we think that the hosts will prevail in a closely-fought contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.