Basel

5 - 1

Servette

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Servette had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.