Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.