Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.