Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.