Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Zurich in this match.