MX23RW : Friday, January 10 11:08:17| >> :600:316624:316624:
Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
vs.
Benfica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Porto
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We say: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica

With the Taca da Liga title on the line, we expect Sporting Lisbon and Benfica to go all out in search of the win, serving up another classic in the heated Lisbon derby. Having bottled the Portuguese Super Cup back in August, we are backing the Leoes to come out guns blazing and extend their recent dominance against Benfica to clinch their first piece of silverware this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Winner Semi-final 2 has a probability of 29.78% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Winner Semi-final 2 win is 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawWinner Semi-final 2
46.38%23.83%29.78%
Both teams to score 59.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68%42.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28%64.72%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.64%
Winner Semi-final 2 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 46.38%
    Winner Semi-final 2 29.78%
    Draw 23.83%
Sporting LisbonDrawWinner Semi-final 2
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.78%

Who will win Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Winner SF1 and Winner SF2?

Winner Semi-final 1
Draw
Winner Semi-final 2
Winner Semi-final 1
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Winner Semi-final 2
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
rhs 2.0
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