Dominican Republic U20s0 - 3Italy U20s
de Pena (3'), Boatwright (71')
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 24 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Wednesday, May 24 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic Under-20s | Draw | Italy Under-20s |
26.27% ( 1.21) | 25.75% ( 0.4) | 47.98% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( -0.68) | 52.73% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( -0.59) | 74.36% ( 0.59) |
| Dominican Republic Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( 0.65) | 34.99% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.26% ( 0.68) | 71.73% ( -0.68) |
| Italy Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( -0.98) | 21.99% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.71% ( -1.51) | 55.29% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic Under-20s | Draw | Italy Under-20s |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.27% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.97% |
