Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.