Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.