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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Kovalivka

Luhansk
0 - 1
Kovalivka


Horbach (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carioca (75')
Demchenko (45'), Salabay (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Kolos Kovalivka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cherkasy 2-1 Luhansk
Sunday, May 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Minai 3-2 Kovalivka
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawKolos Kovalivka
43.02% (-0.134 -0.13) 27.01% (-0.055 -0.05) 29.97% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.34% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.271 0.27)55.65% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.221 0.22)76.81% (-0.224 -0.22)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.051000000000002 0.05)25.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.073999999999998 0.07)60.52% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (0.28 0.28)33.65% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.303 0.3)70.3% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 43.02%
    Kolos Kovalivka 29.97%
    Draw 27%
Zorya LuhanskDrawKolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 29.97%

Head to Head
May 9, 2024 2.05pm
Gameweek 15
Kovalivka
0-1
Luhansk
Guerrero (23')
Guerrero (90+3')
Apr 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 22
Kovalivka
0-1
Luhansk
Brazhko (31')
Dec 1, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Luhansk
2-2
Kovalivka
Buletsa (19' pen.), Kyryukhantsev (63')
Bolbat (10'), Chobotenko (52')
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Oct 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Luhansk
1-0
Kovalivka
Sayyadmanesh (38')
Hladkyy (28'), Khomchenovskiy (34'), Zahedi (68')

Churko (13'), Chornomorets (24')
rhs 2.0
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