MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:41:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Danubio

Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Ginella (55'), (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (32'), May (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Cerrito 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 3-0 Albion
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
54.09% (-0.42 -0.42) 26.93% (0.004999999999999 0) 18.97% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 39.63% (0.552 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.03% (0.389 0.39)62.96% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (0.281 0.28)82.44% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)23.63% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)57.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (0.729 0.73)48.11% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (0.528 0.53)83.31% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 54.08%
    Danubio 18.97%
    Draw 26.92%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 16.4% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 54.08%
1-1 @ 12% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.36% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')
Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm
Nacional
0-2
Danubio

Trasante (34'), Bergessio (63'), Martinez (90+5')
Laborda (62')
Labandeira (44'), Paiva (47')
Sosa (39'), Mendez (70')
Sep 14, 2020 12.15am
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Dominguez (1' og.), Bergessio (55')
Mendez (26'), Rodriguez (46'), Yacob (90')
Mendez (28')

Ichazo (25'), Mederos (30'), Prieto (40'), Paiva (75')
Mederos (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!