MX23RW : Wednesday, April 17 09:05:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Montevideo Wanderers

Nacional
3 - 0
Wanderers

Ebere (11' pen.), Cairus (77'), Bentancourt (87')
Velazquez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonseca (44'), Cerro (44'), Risso (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
56.06% (3.286 3.29) 24.83% (-0.868 -0.87) 19.1% (-2.419 -2.42)
Both teams to score 45.02% (-0.973 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.509 0.51)55.93% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (0.413 0.41)77.04% (-0.414 -0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (1.54 1.54)19.9% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (2.429 2.43)52.03% (-2.43 -2.43)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (-2.341 -2.34)43.8% (2.341 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (-1.997 -2)79.95% (1.995 1.99)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 56.05%
    Montevideo Wanderers 19.1%
    Draw 24.82%
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.07% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.82 0.82)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.704 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.284 0.28)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.631 -0.63)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
3-1
Wanderers
Carneiro (1'), Ramirez (25', 42')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Rodriguez (45+2'), Lozano (62')
Ferreira (89')
Fonseca (45+1'), Camargo (75'), Acosta (84')
Apr 25, 2023 12am
Aug 20, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
2-0
Wanderers
Carballo (15', 59')
Lozano (56'), Rochet (88'), Rodriguez (90')

Bravo (22'), Acosta (44'), Wagner (70'), Castro (90'), Aguirre (90+3')
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Rivero (77'), Hernandez (90')
Bravo (22'), Lacerda (45+3'), (90+16')
Hernandez (90+1'), (90+15')
Castro (68'), Fagundez (90+10')
Castro (60'), Rodriguez (86'), Coelho (89'), (90'), Luis Rodriguez (90+11')
Rodriguez (90+8'), Zabala (90+8')
Oct 22, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 7
Wanderers
1-0
Nacional
Veglio (26'), Pais (79'), Wagner (90+5')
Candido (22'), Fernandez (75'), Zunino (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol87101631322
2ProgresoProgreso86201911820
3NacionalNacional8440126616
4Boston RiverBoston River8431117415
5Defensor SportingDefensor7421158714
6River PlateRiver Plate8323119211
7Racing de MontevideoRacing83231211111
8Cerro Largo832377011
9LiverpoolLiverpool82421312110
10DanubioDanubio822459-48
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado8215712-57
12CerroCerro8143915-67
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers8125613-75
14Miramar Misiones8044914-54
15FenixFenix804449-54
16Rampla JuniorsRampla7115414-104


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