MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:31:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Montevideo Wanderers

Nacional
3 - 0
Wanderers

Ebere (11' pen.), Cairus (77'), Bentancourt (87')
Velazquez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonseca (44'), Cerro (44'), Risso (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
56.06% (3.286 3.29) 24.83% (-0.868 -0.87) 19.1% (-2.419 -2.42)
Both teams to score 45.02% (-0.973 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.509 0.51)55.93% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (0.413 0.41)77.04% (-0.414 -0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (1.54 1.54)19.9% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (2.429 2.43)52.03% (-2.43 -2.43)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (-2.341 -2.34)43.8% (2.341 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (-1.997 -2)79.95% (1.995 1.99)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 56.05%
    Montevideo Wanderers 19.1%
    Draw 24.82%
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.07% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.82 0.82)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.704 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.284 0.28)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.631 -0.63)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
3-1
Wanderers
Carneiro (1'), Ramirez (25', 42')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Rodriguez (45+2'), Lozano (62')
Ferreira (89')
Fonseca (45+1'), Camargo (75'), Acosta (84')
Apr 25, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Wanderers
0-1
Nacional
Aug 20, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
2-0
Wanderers
Carballo (15', 59')
Lozano (56'), Rochet (88'), Rodriguez (90')

Bravo (22'), Acosta (44'), Wagner (70'), Castro (90'), Aguirre (90+3')
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Rivero (77'), Hernandez (90')
Bravo (22'), Lacerda (45+3'), (90+16')
Hernandez (90+1'), (90+15')
Castro (68'), Fagundez (90+10')
Castro (60'), Rodriguez (86'), Coelho (89'), (90'), Luis Rodriguez (90+11')
Rodriguez (90+8'), Zabala (90+8')
Oct 22, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 7
Wanderers
1-0
Nacional
Veglio (26'), Pais (79'), Wagner (90+5')
Candido (22'), Fernandez (75'), Zunino (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol107211831523
2NacionalNacional107212181323
3Boston RiverBoston River10712169722
4DanubioDanubio10541114719
5Racing de MontevideoRacing10451117417
6Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
7Defensor SportingDefensor103431312113
8Miramar Misiones10343811-313
9FenixFenix104151014-413
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers103341213-112
11River PlateRiver Plate103251117-611
12LiverpoolLiverpool10244911-210
13Cerro Largo10235510-59
14CerroCerro10235816-89
15ProgresoProgreso10136512-76
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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