MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 20:06:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
53.68% (-0.103 -0.1) 26.64% (0.067 0.07) 19.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (-0.17 -0.17)61.37% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (-0.127 -0.13)81.27% (0.131 0.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.119 -0.12)23.12% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.173 -0.17)56.98% (0.177 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)81.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.68%
    Danubio 19.68%
    Draw 26.62%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1412203072338
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
4Defensor SportingDefensor1474328171125
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
7Racing de MontevideoRacing145361919018
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers144371319-615
10Rampla JuniorsRampla144371425-1115
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
12CerroCerro143561625-914
13River PlateRiver Plate143471722-513
14FenixFenix143471116-513
15DanubioDanubio143471218-613
16Miramar Misiones142571825-711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!