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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Newell (55' pen.)
Solomon-Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bratley (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 24 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.25% (-0.026 -0.03) 24.45% (-0.012 -0.01) 51.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (0.023999999999997 0.02)71.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)71.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)50.76% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 24.25%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 51.3%
    Draw 24.45%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.25%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 51.3%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (57')
Edwards (90+3')
Abadaki (14')
Abadaki (31'), Arsan (59'), Malkin (73'), Malkin (73'), Smith (90+3')
Malkin (90+3')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
1-0
Connah's Quay
Rushton (48' og.)
White (77')

Nash (64'), Kenny (75'), Franklin (75')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bala Town
1-2
Connah's Quay
Newell (27')
Franklin (26'), Horan (42')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (14')
Roscrow (76')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints9900115189789
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay933370412959
3Bala TownBala Town93423629750
4Newtown AFCNewtown92254645141
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon92345068-1840
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU91263460-2639
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest94323939043
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont95314537840
3Barry Town UnitedBarry91623653-1732
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth92342457-3324
5Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd93333669-3322
6Colwyn Bay92253366-3322
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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