Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 1Flint Town United
Mendes (73'), Jones (76')
Augustin Malandjou Kondjo (36'), (60'), (83'), Thomas (88')
Augustin Malandjou Kondjo (36'), (60'), (83'), Thomas (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Foulkes (89')
Craig (20'), Nash (38'), Harwood (42'), (60'), Danby (88')
Craig (20'), Nash (38'), Harwood (42'), (60'), Danby (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 51.69% | 23.83% | 24.48% |
| Both teams to score 55.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
