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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Newtown

Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
53.36%22.96%23.68%
Both teams to score 56.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79%43.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39%65.62%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83%16.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36%45.64%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 53.36%
    Newtown AFC 23.68%
    Draw 22.96%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Breese (55')
Ramsey (51'), Craig (93')

Williams (30'), Mwandwe (48'), Fletcher (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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