Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
