Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
