Barcelona5 - 1Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Barcelona Women 3-1 Wolfsburg Women
Although we expect Wolfsburg to present their hosts with a stiff test, Barcelona have demonstrated over the last couple of seasons that they are a step ahead of the competition, and we think that they will emerge victorious once again on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
| 53.17% | 24.19% | 22.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.57% |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% | 18.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.16% | 49.84% |
| Wolfsburg Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% | 36.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.77% | 73.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.59% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.65% |
