We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Liverpool Women
Man United may have lost their last two league games against Liverpool, but they have already beaten the Reds at Leigh Sports Village this season, recording a 2-0 victory in October's Women's League Cup match.
The hosts will take confidence from that successful outing, and we think that they will have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.