MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 11:27:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2025 at 7pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 1
Man City

Pavi Sepulveda (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shaw (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between West Ham United Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-3 West Ham
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Man City
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: West Ham United Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

West Ham certainly made Arsenal work for all three points at the weekend, and we expect them to produce another hard-fought showing in Wednesday's WSL fixture. With that said, we still believe that Man City's extra quality will shine through to help claim a narrow victory over the Hammers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawManchester City Women
12.8% (-1.839 -1.84) 16.41% (-0.911 -0.91) 70.79% (2.754 2.75)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-1.885 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.21% (0.054999999999993 0.05)30.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86% (0.064 0.06)52.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-2.464 -2.46)36.37% (2.469 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-2.574 -2.57)73.16% (2.579 2.58)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.27% (0.592 0.59)7.73% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.47% (1.482 1.48)27.53% (-1.477 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 12.8%
    Manchester City Women 70.79%
    Draw 16.41%
West Ham United WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 3.68% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-0 @ 2.84% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 1.44% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.24% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.389 -0.39)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.41%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.494 0.49)
1-3 @ 7.95% (0.133 0.13)
0-3 @ 7.86% (0.634 0.63)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.186 0.19)
1-4 @ 5.09% (0.228 0.23)
0-4 @ 5.03% (0.537 0.54)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-5 @ 2.61% (0.188 0.19)
0-5 @ 2.58% (0.341 0.34)
2-4 @ 2.57% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.32% (0.01 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
0-6 @ 1.1% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 70.79%

How you voted: West Ham vs Man City

West Ham United Women
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester City Women
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 3
Man City
2-0
West Ham
Hemp (10'), Fowler (71')
Kennedy (90')

Cooke (90+2')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 19
Man City
5-0
West Ham
Ouahabi (1'), Shaw (3', 24'), Brown (81'), Park (86')
Greenwood (74')

Shimizu (59'), Cissoko (84')
Oct 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
West Ham
0-2
Man City Women

Cissoko (90+5')
Hemp (48'), Roord (55')
Castellanos (16')
Ouahabi (71')
Apr 23, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
Man City Women
6-2
West Ham
Kelly (6', 7'), Coombs (25'), Shaw (62'), Houghton (65'), Fowler (82')
Snerle (11'), Evans (72')
Jan 15, 2023 6.45pm
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