Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
