DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
May 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund5 - 0Holstein Kiel
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 50.23% | 24.72% | 25.05% |
| Both teams to score 52.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
